In Lebanon, the parliament has once again gathered to address the longstanding issue of electing a new president after a void lasting over two years. Despite 12 previous unsuccessful attempts to appoint a successor following the end of former President Michel Aoun’s term in October 2022, there is optimism that the current session may finally see the inauguration of a new head of state.
Among the contenders, Lebanese army commander Joseph Aoun emerges as a leading candidate, distinct from the former president despite sharing a surname. Widely viewed as the favored choice by both the United States and Saudi Arabia, Joseph Aoun’s potential presidency comes at a critical juncture for Lebanon as it navigates post-conflict recovery efforts following a 14-month period of strife involving Israel and Hezbollah.
Notably, Hezbollah had initially supported Suleiman Frangieh for the presidential position. However, with Frangieh withdrawing from the race and pledging his support to Joseph Aoun recently, there appears to be growing consensus around Aoun’s candidacy. Furthermore, endorsements from key political factions like the Lebanese Forces signal increasing alignment towards Joseph Aoun’s potential presidency.
The complexities within Lebanon’s political landscape are exacerbated by its intricate sectarian power-sharing system prone to deadlock scenarios. The country has previously endured prolonged presidential vacancies, reflecting underlying challenges in its governance structure. Notably, constitutional regulations present obstacles for Joseph Aoun’s candidacy due to his current role as army commander.
While traditional election protocols stipulate either a two-thirds majority or subsequent simple majority vote for presidential selection in Lebanon’s parliament, unique circumstances surrounding Aoun’s eligibility necessitate stricter voting criteria. Additional candidates such as Jihad Azour and Elias al-Baysari contribute to the diverse field contending for presidential office.
Beyond fulfilling immediate governmental roles like appointing a permanent prime minister and cabinet formation, Lebanon’s incoming administration faces multifaceted challenges including economic revitalization efforts post-crisis. With ongoing negotiations with international bodies like the IMF for financial assistance underscored by pending reform requirements for economic stabilization purposes,
Lebanon stands at a critical crossroads requiring decisive leadership to navigate through concurrent political uncertainties and socioeconomic hardships plaguing its populace. The eventual selection of a president holds significant implications not only domestically but also on an international scale given Lebanon’s strategic geopolitical positioning in the Middle East region.
